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Early-State Polling: Sanders Gains As Clinton Shows Signs of Weakness

June 25, 2015

MEDIA CONTACTS:

Vidhya Murugesan
vmurugesan@bloomberg.net
(212) 617-0586

Katelyn Ellison
Communications Specialist
New Hampshire Institute of Politics & Political Library
kellison@anselm.edu
(603) 222-4115

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Early-State Polling: Sanders Gains As Clinton Shows Signs of Weakness
Bloomberg Politics Iowa Poll: 24% of Democrats Support Sanders, Up 8% Points Since May
Bloomberg Politics/Saint Anselm New Hampshire Poll: 24% of Democrats Support Sanders, Up 6% Points Since May

June 25 - Newly released, simultaneous polls in Iowa and New Hampshire show Bernie Sanders is gaining on Hillary Clinton in the Democratic 2016 nominating race.

Support in Iowa among likely Democratic caucus-goers:
**May survey results in parentheses

  1. Hillary Clinton: 50% (57%)
  2. Bernie Sanders: 24% (16%)
  3. Martin O'Malley: 2% (2%)
  4. Lincoln Chafee: <1% (N/A)

Support in New Hampshire among likely Democratic primary voters:
**May survey results in parentheses

  1. Hillary Clinton: 56%  (62%)
  2. Bernie Sanders: 24%  (18%)
  3. Martin O'Malley: 2%  (3%)
  4. Lincoln Chafee: 1%  (1%)

Ted Devine, Sanders' chief political strategist tells Bloomberg Politics: "It's tremendous progress that he is making with voters in the first two states. It's something we felt on the ground."

The Clinton campaign declined to comment on the polls.

Additional highlights:

  • Among independents likely to participate in the Iowa caucuses, Sanders leads Clinton, 35% to 29%
  • In Iowa, Sanders leads Clinton 48-30% when asked whether the candidate would take on Wall Street; he leads Clinton in New Hampshire 44-37% on the same question
  • In Iowa, Sanders leads Clinton 47-30% on authenticity; he leads Clinton in New Hampshire 46-34% on the same question
  • 83% of Sanders supporters in Iowa and 89% of those in New Hampshire say they're backing Sanders because of what he stands for; just 13% in Iowa and 8% in New Hampshire say their decision is because they don't want Clinton to get the nomination


Methodology for Iowa Poll: The poll was conducted June 19-22 by Selzer & Company, in Des Moines, Iowa, and are based on interviews with 401 likely Democratic caucus-goers. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 4.9% points.

Methodology for NH Poll: The poll was conducted by Purple Insights of 400 likely Democratic presidential primary voters from June 19-22. The poll has a margin of error of  +/- 4.9% points.

Bloomberg Politics debuted on Oct. 6th and leads political coverage across all Bloomberg platforms. The website, BloombergPolitics.com, is a next-generation political news site that seamlessly combines up-to-the-minute news, original video, analysis, commentary, long-form features, polling, interactive graphics and live streams. Bloomberg Politics Managing Editors Mark Halperin and John Heilemann also host a half-hour television show, "With All Due Respect,” that airs at 5pm ET/PT on Bloomberg TV and BloombergPolitics.com.

Founded in 1889, Saint Anselm College is a four-year liberal arts college providing a 21st century education in the Catholic, Benedictine tradition. Located in southern New Hampshire near Boston and the seacoast, Saint Anselm is well known for its strong liberal arts and nursing programs as well as for the New Hampshire Institute of Politics. www.anselm.edu

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