November 24, 2014
New Hampshire Institute of Politics & Political Library
FOR IMMEDITE RELEASE
Saint Anselm/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire Primary Poll:
Rand Paul Shows Early Strength; Clinton Leads by Historic Margin
A new Saint Anselm/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire poll shows Rand Paul and Chris Christie leading the GOP field, each drawing 16% support among likely Republican primary voters when Mitt Romney is removed from the field. The poll was conducted by Purple Strategies.
- (tie). Rand Paul & Chris Christie (16%)
- Jeb Bush (14%)
- Ben Carson (9%)
- Mike Huckabee (8%)
- Paul Ryan (7%)
- Ted Cruz (5%)
- Bobby Jindal (4%)
- Rick Perry (3%)
Rand Paul also has the highest favorable rating (65%) in the 2016 field among likely Republican primary voters. Christie shows signs of weakness - he has the highest unfavorable rating (32%) among the same group. When Romney - who has repeatedly said he's not running - is included in the Republican field, he leads with 30%.
Among likely Democratic primary voters, Hillary Clinton holds a historic lead with 62% support. Only former Senator Ted Kennedy in 1980 and former Vice President Al Gore in 2000 have broken the 50% mark more than six months before the primary. Senator Elizabeth Warren comes in a distant second, with 13% support.
In hypothetical general election match-ups, Hillary Clinton runs nearly even with Mitt Romney (46-45%). She has wider leads against both Rand Paul (48-41%) and Jeb Bush (47-39%).
- When asked which party's nominee is more likely to "care about people like you," a trait traditionally associated with Democrats, voters were almost equally divided, with 40% saying Democrats and 39% picking Republicans.
- Among all likely voters in New Hampshire, Clinton has the highest favorability rating (51%). Republican Senator Kelly Ayotte and Mitt Romney are tied with the second-highest favorability (47%).
Purple Insights - the Washington-based research division of Purple Strategies - was named one of the most accurate pollsters of 2012 by Fordham University for its national and swing state polls.
Methodology: The poll was conducted by Purple Insights and included 407 likely Republican primary voters and 404 likely Democratic primary voters from Nov. 12-18. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.
Bloomberg Politics debuted on Oct. 6th and leads political coverage across all Bloomberg platforms. The website, BloombergPolitics.com, is a next-generation political news site that seamlessly combines up-to-the-minute news, original video, analysis, commentary, long-form features, polling, interactive graphics and live streams. Bloomberg Politics Managing Editors Mark Halperin and John Heilemann also host a half-hour television show, "With All Due Respect,” that airs at 5pm ET/PT on Bloomberg TV and BloombergPolitics.com.
Founded in 1889, Saint Anselm College is a four-year liberal arts college providing a 21st century education in the Catholic, Benedictine tradition. Located in southern New Hampshire near Boston and the seacoast, Saint Anselm is well known for its strong liberal arts and nursing programs as well as for the New Hampshire Institute of Politics. www.anselm.edu